Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.164310 0.175890 0.188000 0.201633 0.216581 0.232503 0.250786
2026-02-01 0.146351 0.163532 0.182537 0.205230 0.231737 0.261896 0.299062
2026-02-08 0.132846 0.152535 0.175113 0.203136 0.237288 0.277950 0.330627
2026-02-15 0.123763 0.145215 0.170532 0.202962 0.243898 0.294544 0.363042
2026-02-22 0.114680 0.136899 0.163739 0.199010 0.244844 0.303401 0.385564
2026-03-01 0.108438 0.131475 0.159890 0.198118 0.249149 0.316338 0.413981
2026-03-08 0.103849 0.127719 0.157738 0.199015 0.255531 0.332117 0.447268
2026-03-15 0.098281 0.122316 0.153034 0.196062 0.256261 0.339890 0.469437
2026-03-22 0.093919 0.118202 0.149718 0.194645 0.258825 0.350166 0.495874
2026-03-29 0.091542 0.116551 0.149528 0.197413 0.267337 0.369454 0.537611
2026-04-05 0.087796 0.112845 0.146308 0.195645 0.269021 0.378538 0.563838
2026-04-12 0.084324 0.109335 0.143154 0.193730 0.270259 0.386865 0.589374
2026-04-19 0.080638 0.105411 0.139288 0.190633 0.269604 0.392326 0.610886
2026-04-26 0.079327 0.104744 0.139990 0.194309 0.279584 0.415456 0.665381
2026-05-03 0.076419 0.101678 0.137082 0.192345 0.280490 0.423704 0.693957
2026-05-10 0.074241 0.099558 0.135435 0.192183 0.284207 0.436825 0.732766
2026-05-17 0.071224 0.096102 0.131662 0.188501 0.281895 0.439357 0.751500
2026-05-24 0.069176 0.093979 0.129776 0.187670 0.284220 0.450079 0.787296
2026-05-31 0.067692 0.092626 0.128979 0.188506 0.289361 0.466129 0.835538
2026-06-07 0.065374 0.089948 0.126056 0.185753 0.288143 0.470446 0.859794
2026-06-14 0.063543 0.087937 0.124076 0.184433 0.289318 0.479236 0.894510
2026-06-21 0.062756 0.087470 0.124456 0.187013 0.297510 0.501883 0.962372
2026-06-28 0.061012 0.085483 0.122379 0.185365 0.297972 0.509569 0.997244